eISSN 2097-6046
ISSN 2096-7446
CN 10-1655/R
Responsible Institution:China Association for Science and Technology
Sponsor:Chinese Nursing Association

Chinese Journal of Emergency and Critical Care Nursing ›› 2023, Vol. 4 ›› Issue (12): 1068-1074.doi: 10.3761/j.issn.2096-7446.2023.12.002

• Research Paper • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Construction and validation of a nomogram risk prediction model for subsyndromal delirium in mechanically ventilated patients

GU Tiantian, CHEN Junxi, YANG Yang, XIAO Xu, LI Jiao, ZHANG Yongmei   

  1. Department of Critical Care Medicine,Zunyi Medical University Hospital,Zunyi, 563000,China
  • Received:2023-06-16 Online:2023-12-10 Published:2023-12-21

Abstract: Objective To analyze the risk factors for the occurrence of subsyndromal delirium in mechanically ventilated patients and construct a nomogram risk prediction model to predict the occurrence of subsyndromal delirium. Methods Convenience sampling was used to select 434 mechanically ventilated patients admitted to the ICU of a tertiary hospital in Guizhou Province from July 2021 to June 2022,who were categorized into the subdelirium syndrome group(n=136)and the non-subdelirium syndrome group(n=298)using the ICU Patient Ambi-guity of Consciousness Assessment Scale. We explored the independent risk factors for the occurrence of subde-lirium syndrome through univariate and multifactorial logistic regression analyses,established a risk prediction model,developed a nomogram,and validated the model both internally and externally. Results Multifactorial logistic regression analysis revealed that age(OR=1.029),acute physiological and chronic health status score(OR=1.267),whether restrained(OR=1.029),intensive care pain score(OR=2.487),Richards-Campbell sleep scale score(OR=1.150),Richmond agitation-sedation score(OR=1.500)were independent risk factors for the development of subdelirium. The consistency index of the nomogram model for the occurrence of subdelirium in mechanically ventilated patients in the ICU was 0.956,with a sensitivity of 86.2% and a specificity of 94.1%. Conclusion The risk prediction model construc-ted in this study can effectively predict the occurrence of subdelirium syndrome in mechanically ventilated patients,which provides a reference for clinical medical personnel to scientifically predict the occurrence of subdelirium.

Key words: Mechanically Ventilated, Subsyndromal Delirium, Nomogram, Prediction Model, Critical Care Nursing